Editor
Adrian Vale
Adrian Vale is the pen name of the independent editor behind Jiang Insights. He is not a credentialed historian or economist and has no affiliation with Professor Jiang Xueqin. He follows the Predictive History lectures, summarizes Jiang's arguments as faithfully as he can, and checks his predictions against what actually happened. Errors in summarizing are his own.
How we check Jiang's claims: our scoring method and scorecard.
Articles by Adrian Vale
- Geopolitics
Professor Jiang's 'Rupture' Predictions: Alberta, Israel, Anthropic IPO and APEC Tests
In his October 2026 Toronto lecture, Professor Jiang Xueqin argued that AI companies are displacing global banks and named tests: Trump disputing Alberta's October 19 referendum, Netanyahu winning Israel's election, a failed Anthropic IPO followed by an AI bailout, and a Trump–Xi–Putin AI governance board at APEC. Polls and reporting point the other way on several.
Oct 18, 2026
- Scorecards & Fact-Checks
Who Is Professor Jiang Xueqin? Age, Background, Books and the 'Professor' Title
Jiang Insights' profile finds that Jiang Xueqin, known online as Professor Jiang, is a Chinese-Canadian educator born in 1976 who grew up in Toronto and graduated from Yale in 1999. He worked as a journalist and high school teacher in China, holds no university professorship, and launched Predictive History on YouTube in 2023.
Oct 17, 2026
- Scorecards & Fact-Checks
Is Professor Jiang Really 77% Accurate? Why Trackers Disagree
Jiang Insights' analysis finds that the 77% accuracy figure for Professor Jiang Xueqin comes from the fan tracker jiangpredictions.com and covers only 22 of 450 tracked predictions. A rival tracker's 87% counts partially correct calls as hits. After removing reported events and a double-counted hedge, our recount puts his settled record near 69–74%, with a wide margin of error.
Oct 16, 2026
- Geopolitics
Will the US Invade Iran This Fall? Professor Jiang's Forecast vs. Polymarket
Professor Jiang Xueqin argues that a US ground invasion of Iran will come after the November 3, 2026 midterms and that US special forces are already inside the country. On October 12, 2026, Polymarket priced a US invasion of Iran before 2027 at about 18%. Trump has ruled out attacks before the election but kept post-election options open.
Oct 14, 2026
- US Politics
Professor Jiang's 2026 Midterm Predictions vs. Polymarket Odds
Professor Jiang Xueqin predicts Republicans will keep the US Senate in the November 3, 2026 midterms, while Democrats may win the House. As of mid-October 2026, Polymarket gave that split about 30% and a Republican Senate about 38%. Jiang also expects ICE deployments near polling places, which federal law (18 U.S.C. § 592) restricts.
Oct 13, 2026
- Global Finance & Economy
Dollar Collapse and a US Military Draft: Jiang's 2026 Predictions Analyzed
Jiang Insights breaks down Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that a US dollar collapse will be followed by an engineered depression and a national military draft. Jiang describes the global financial system as a sovereign Ponzi scheme and argues that local communities and spiritual resilience, not wealth or technology, will decide who copes. These are his forecasts, not established fact.
Jun 12, 2026
- Global Finance & Economy
The Engineered US Dollar Collapse: Professor Jiang’s 2026 Predictive History Analysis
Jiang Insights examines Professor Jiang Xueqin's claim that a 2026 US dollar collapse is being engineered by the Bank for International Settlements and transnational capital. Jiang argues that deflating the AI and private-credit bubbles would shift economic activity from the United States toward the IMEC corridor and Israel. This is his forecast, not a consensus view.
Apr 11, 2026
- Geopolitics
Pax Judaica Map and Meaning: Professor Jiang's Thesis, Checked
Pax Judaica is Professor Jiang Xueqin's forecast that the US–Iran war will force an American retreat from the Middle East and leave Israel as the dominant regional power. Seven months into the war, the US has added forces rather than withdrawn, and oil peaked near $125, below his $150 scenario. Jiang Insights checks each step.
Mar 30, 2026